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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+9.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+6.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.53vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41+1.00vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-0.17vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+1.05vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-2.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.50vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.79vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-6.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-0.82vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.55-3.45vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.66vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.84-2.70vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.59-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.98Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.77Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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13.18Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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12.34Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.3University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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7.19University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 20.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 31.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.