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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+4.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+1.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+2.26vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51+1.03vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+0.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.53-1.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16-0.99vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.33+0.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-1.57vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-3.10vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-5.45vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26-0.98vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.16-2.78vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.23-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University2.910.2%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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8.9Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.22University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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14.1Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 15.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Ben Brown | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Sam Gates | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 17.4% | 36.6% | 23.6% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 27.4% | 26.4% | 11.5% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 21.0% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.