← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.51+4.85vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.60vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.38+3.23vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.61+1.61vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.91-1.23vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College1.52+1.88vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.05-0.66vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-0.69vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.53-4.03vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.33-1.51vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.16-4.78vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.16-0.67vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut-0.26-2.08vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-1.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.85Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.23Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.61Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
-
4.77Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.88Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.34Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
-
5.97Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
-
9.49Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
7.22Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
12.33University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
-
12.92University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.09Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 13.9% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sam Gates | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 26.8% | 28.7% | 12.8% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 19.9% | 34.4% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 20.6% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.