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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+4.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+3.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+3.33vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51+1.06vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+0.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.53-1.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16-1.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-4.25vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.16+1.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.26+0.11vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.33-4.45vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.23-0.84vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.52-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.2University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.55Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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14.16Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.87Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Scott Booth | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 14.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 28.4% | 26.3% | 11.2% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 17.6% | 37.0% | 24.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 19.8% | 62.9% |
| Ben Brown | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.