← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.51+4.81vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.60vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+3.21vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.38+2.31vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.53+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.05+1.39vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.16-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.91-3.17vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.61-3.42vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College1.52-1.00vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.33-1.51vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-3.48vs Predicted
-
14Bentley University-1.23+0.23vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.16-2.77vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-0.26-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.81Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
-
6.31Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.99Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
-
7.39Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.97Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.83Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.58Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
9.0Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.49Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
-
14.23Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
-
12.23University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
-
12.83University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Booth | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 66.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 26.7% | 29.3% | 10.7% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 19.4% | 36.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.