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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+5.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+6.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+1.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.51+1.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.61-0.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-0.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05-0.65vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.53-3.17vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.92vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.52-2.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.33-2.33vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.23+0.22vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-2.08vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.16-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.2%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.94Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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14.22Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.14University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Gates | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 18.6% | 65.8% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 19.6% | 36.5% | 20.7% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 24.7% | 28.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.