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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+4.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+3.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+4.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51+1.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+2.36vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.38-0.72vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+1.47vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-4.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-4.65vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-2.88vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.16-0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.26-2.08vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.2%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.1Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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9.12Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.09Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Reid | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 26.5% | 28.1% | 13.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 19.6% | 34.0% | 22.6% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.9% | 20.6% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.