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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+6.16vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+2.85vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+1.63vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.53+0.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+0.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-0.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+1.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16-2.04vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.52-1.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-6.12vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.26+1.07vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-5.40vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.16-2.78vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.23-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.95Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.22University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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14.11Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter O'Connell | 14.2% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Scott Booth | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 7.1% | 20.9% | 37.5% | 21.9% |
| Sam Gates | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 26.9% | 27.8% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 19.2% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.