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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+6.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53+2.83vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51+1.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.05+2.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.61-0.35vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.52+1.82vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39-1.67vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-4.30vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.33-0.47vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.16-0.61vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26-1.00vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.38-8.77vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.23-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.82Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.39University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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14.11Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter O'Connell | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Gates | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| William Reid | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Sleight | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 26.4% | 30.7% | 10.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 18.5% | 34.8% | 23.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 20.2% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.