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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+2.85vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.79+3.07vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.80+4.83vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.14+8.57vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.83+1.71vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.75+0.80vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University0.98+2.24vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.30-2.67vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.73-4.70vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College2.88-6.26vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.61-3.55vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.77+0.89vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-1.45vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.62+0.03vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University0.80-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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3.04St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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6.07U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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8.83Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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13.57Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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3.96Washington College3.650.2%1st Place
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8.71University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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8.8Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.24Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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7.33Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.3Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.74Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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9.45Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.89Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Delaware-1.620.0%1st Place
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11.66Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 25.8% | 22.9% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 7.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 15.6% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Mary Gamber | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 31.6% | 24.0% |
| Byron Bell | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 20.9% | 20.4% | 7.2% |
| Adrienne Bourguet | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 20.2% | 59.3% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.