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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+5.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+5.19vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+5.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.39+1.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.61-0.39vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-1.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.53-2.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16-2.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-5.11vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.16+1.23vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.33-2.34vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.52-3.94vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.26-1.05vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.23-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.390.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.23University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.06Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.11Bentley University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 9.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Gates | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Reid | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 24.9% | 28.0% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 19.4% | 37.5% | 20.8% |
| Sarah Bouchie | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 8.1% | 18.2% | 64.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.