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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+3.91vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.34+1.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+2.19vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.11+3.32vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.83+0.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-0.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11+3.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.51+1.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.68-0.44vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-6.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-2.88vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.11-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-1.30vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.39-0.70vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.35-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.91Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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5.37Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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3.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
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10.31Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.3University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.15Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Eger | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 17.8% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Booras | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Alvarez | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Grace Olsen | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Hall | 19.2% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Oates | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Christopher | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 12.2% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 25.2% | 40.9% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.