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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+4.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+2.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34+0.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+3.57vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86-0.76vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.11+0.28vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.11+2.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83-3.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11+0.14vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-2.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-1.32vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.39-1.71vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.35-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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4.07Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.24Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University1.110.1%1st Place
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10.12Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
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5.3Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.29University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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13.11Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 10.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 20.8% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 18.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 11.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Booras | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Christopher | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brian Alvarez | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% |
| Richard Oates | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Grace Olsen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 12.4% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 25.1% | 40.6% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 23.6% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.