← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.34+3.04vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.97+2.84vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.61vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.86+1.23vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.68+3.56vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.83-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85+1.03vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.79-2.51vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.11-1.74vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University0.51-1.90vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut-0.48-0.43vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College0.11-2.71vs Predicted
-
14Bentley University-1.35-0.68vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-1.39-1.71vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.04Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
-
4.84Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
-
3.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
-
5.23Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.56Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
-
5.34Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
-
8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.49Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
7.26Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
-
9.1Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
-
11.57University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
-
10.29Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.32Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
13.29University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Bergsund | 17.3% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 10.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 21.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Oates | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Booras | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Olsen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 10.9% |
| Alexander Christopher | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 2.7% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 23.2% | 42.0% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 39.3% |
| Brian Alvarez | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.