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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.34+3.05vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+3.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+2.39vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-0.35vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.83+0.36vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.11+1.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.51+2.01vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-3.03vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-0.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.68-1.34vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11-0.88vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.35+0.36vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.39-0.64vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-3.48vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.11-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
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5.12Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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5.36Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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13.36Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.36University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.05Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Bergsund | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 20.5% | 20.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Booras | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Olsen | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Riley Eger | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Oates | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ballard Blair | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Brian Alvarez | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 27.5% | 40.0% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 26.1% | 42.1% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 10.3% |
| Alexander Christopher | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.