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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+4.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.59vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.83+2.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34+0.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85+3.07vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11+4.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.68+0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-3.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-5.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.11-3.59vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.11-1.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.51-3.75vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.35-0.70vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-3.48vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.39-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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5.25Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.05Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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10.12Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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13.3Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.19University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 20.3% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Oates | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Brian Alvarez | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Ballard Blair | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 10.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Booras | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Christopher | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Grace Olsen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 26.2% | 40.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 26.1% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.