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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.65vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+3.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.34+0.99vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+0.94vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.11+5.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.11+1.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83-1.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11+2.13vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.51+0.03vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-1.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.79-6.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.68-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.35-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.39-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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5.14Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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3.99Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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10.08Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
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5.28Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.22Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.21University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 21.1% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Christopher | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| Anna Booras | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Alvarez | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Grace Olsen | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Richard Oates | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Paige | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 12.3% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 25.3% | 38.8% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 24.1% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.