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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.65vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College2.88+2.81vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.73+2.25vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.74+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.83+2.66vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University0.80+4.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.79-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.63-4.62vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-0.14+3.54vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.80-2.19vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.98-0.98vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.77+1.70vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.61-4.56vs Predicted
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14Drexel University1.75-6.15vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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4.81Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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5.25Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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10.47Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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12.54Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.81Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.02Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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13.7Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.44Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.85Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 33.5% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| James Allsopp | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 21.0% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 21.6% | 23.9% | 21.7% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 21.7% | 51.5% |
| Victoria Miller | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Byron Bell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 28.5% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.