← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.83+4.22vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.57vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.34+0.98vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.86+1.21vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.97+0.05vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.51+3.07vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.79-1.58vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.68-0.46vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College0.11-0.82vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.11-1.90vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.11-5.54vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire-1.39-0.61vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-1.35-1.77vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut-0.48-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22Northeastern University1.830.1%1st Place
-
3.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
-
3.98Harvard University2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.21Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.05Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
-
9.07Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
-
5.42Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.18Middlebury College0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
-
7.46Boston University1.110.0%1st Place
-
13.39University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
-
13.23Bentley University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
11.54University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Hood | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 21.4% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 17.5% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Olsen | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ballard Blair | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Richard Oates | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Christopher | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Brian Alvarez | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Anna Booras | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Turner | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 25.6% | 42.3% |
| Mikaela Donovan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 25.3% | 38.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.