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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+5.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+3.09vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.80+4.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.19+2.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.93+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78+2.60vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-4.83vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.52-5.17vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-6.00vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.53-1.76vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.16-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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5.09Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.95Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.6University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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4.17Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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5.83Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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6.0Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.24Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.5McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Cappetta | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 16.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 18.0% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Chester Jacobs | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John Silvestri | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 28.4% | 21.6% |
| Andries Feder | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.