Race 2A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kate Levinson 8.1% 8.0% 9.3% 8.7% 8.8% 10.3% 7.5% 8.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 6.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Patrick Penwell 7.7% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 9.4% 8.4% 7.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.1% 7.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.7%
Molly Pleskus 7.8% 7.7% 9.1% 8.2% 7.1% 7.8% 8.8% 9.9% 8.0% 9.4% 9.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.4%
Sean McLaughlin 5.2% 6.1% 6.0% 7.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 7.4% 9.2% 10.2% 11.1% 7.8% 5.4% 1.1%
Brendan Cook 17.8% 17.4% 12.9% 12.7% 10.5% 8.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Chester Jacobs 9.5% 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 10.8% 9.4% 8.1% 7.2% 6.5% 7.3% 6.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Benjamin Craig 7.4% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 8.0% 9.6% 9.5% 8.1% 6.5% 5.0% 3.1% 0.4%
Benjamin Sturmer 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 5.1% 7.4% 16.3% 24.6% 24.1%
Scott Goodrich 11.8% 10.4% 10.9% 11.2% 10.1% 8.7% 10.1% 9.1% 6.0% 5.4% 3.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Emmet Todd 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 2.8% 3.1% 5.2% 4.6% 7.2% 9.5% 17.9% 25.8% 15.0%
John Silvestri 9.4% 8.4% 9.9% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 10.1% 5.8% 9.4% 7.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.3%
John Cappetta 4.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 8.4% 8.9% 10.4% 8.9% 10.6% 10.2% 6.4% 2.4%
Andries Feder 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 2.0% 1.5% 2.6% 2.6% 4.3% 10.0% 18.5% 53.5%
Sarah Fuller 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 11.4% 10.4% 8.2% 4.6% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.