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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.19+5.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+4.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+4.42vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.78+6.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.30+1.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13-1.83vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68-1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19-1.29vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.80-1.01vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-3.89vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.52-5.16vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.53-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.93-5.51vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.16-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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10.74University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.17Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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5.1Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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7.99Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.84Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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11.32Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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12.53McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Craig | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 16.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 17.8% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| John Cappetta | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| John Silvestri | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Chester Jacobs | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 25.1% | 23.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Andries Feder | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 21.0% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.