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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.21+3.03vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.61+3.59vs Predicted
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3Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+3.81vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.32-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.46-1.42vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94-3.06vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.02-2.53vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-3.16+1.88vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.10vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.31-1.16vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-2.56-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Miami0.2114.9%1st Place
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5.59Rollins College-0.616.2%1st Place
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6.81Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.113.5%1st Place
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3.82Jacksonville University0.3215.6%1st Place
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3.58University of South Florida0.4617.2%1st Place
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2.94Jacksonville University0.9425.7%1st Place
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4.47University of Miami0.0210.9%1st Place
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9.88University of Central Florida-3.160.4%1st Place
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6.9Embry-Riddle University-1.833.2%1st Place
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8.84Florida Institute of Technology-2.310.9%1st Place
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9.14Unknown School-2.561.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher McCollum | 14.9% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Sexton | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Mason Mattice | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 17.2% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 25.7% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 23.4% | 50.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 17.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 23.7% | 27.1% | 19.0% |
| Rajshibhu Pandey | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 19.6% | 30.9% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.