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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.79+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.83+5.78vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College2.88+2.00vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University0.80+6.77vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.63-1.52vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.33vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.74+1.14vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73-2.56vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.75-1.72vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.00-0.71vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.98-1.37vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-0.07vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.14-1.09vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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5.0Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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10.77Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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2.67St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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8.14Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.44Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.98Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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8.28Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.29Columbia University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.63Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.91Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.5Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Allsopp | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Gill | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 20.8% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 29.7% | 25.1% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Sachs | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sayre | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Chan | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
| Byron Bell | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 22.0% | 38.7% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 36.1% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.