Race 9A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean McLaughlin 6.2% 5.4% 7.1% 7.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 8.3% 9.5% 9.4% 8.1% 8.4% 4.9% 1.5%
Patrick Penwell 7.5% 9.1% 8.5% 7.8% 8.1% 9.1% 7.4% 9.9% 9.4% 8.7% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Molly Pleskus 7.7% 8.8% 7.9% 8.0% 7.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.2% 8.6% 10.3% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6% 0.7%
Kate Levinson 7.1% 9.2% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.4% 8.0% 8.6% 7.3% 4.5% 2.6% 0.4%
John Silvestri 7.8% 9.5% 10.2% 10.8% 9.5% 7.8% 9.6% 7.0% 8.8% 7.7% 6.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6%
Chester Jacobs 9.3% 8.6% 10.2% 11.1% 10.6% 9.4% 9.7% 7.9% 6.7% 6.5% 4.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Brendan Cook 20.5% 18.1% 14.2% 11.0% 9.8% 8.0% 6.9% 4.9% 3.5% 1.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
John Cappetta 5.8% 5.4% 6.4% 5.2% 6.4% 5.8% 8.8% 7.9% 8.8% 8.9% 11.1% 10.6% 6.9% 2.0%
Scott Goodrich 10.4% 12.1% 10.7% 10.9% 9.9% 12.2% 7.9% 8.7% 5.4% 5.1% 3.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Benjamin Craig 6.7% 6.3% 7.3% 9.5% 8.9% 7.6% 7.3% 10.1% 8.4% 9.1% 8.7% 5.9% 3.2% 1.0%
Sarah Fuller 6.4% 4.4% 5.7% 5.5% 8.5% 9.1% 6.0% 7.5% 10.7% 9.6% 12.1% 7.4% 6.1% 1.0%
Emmet Todd 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 2.6% 5.2% 5.7% 7.2% 9.6% 18.2% 23.5% 15.4%
Benjamin Sturmer 2.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.7% 1.9% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 4.5% 9.1% 16.3% 25.4% 23.3%
Andries Feder 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 4.9% 9.6% 18.4% 53.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.