← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.13+3.04vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.19+4.53vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.30+3.46vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.19+2.82vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University2.45+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.68-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.52-1.50vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-0.60vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut1.93-1.39vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.23-3.31vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire0.78-0.16vs Predicted
-
12Maine Maritime Academy0.53-0.68vs Predicted
-
13Bates College1.80-5.16vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.16-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.04Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
-
6.53University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
6.46Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.82University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
-
6.1Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.38Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.5Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
-
7.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
-
7.61University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.69Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.84University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.32Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
7.84Bates College1.800.1%1st Place
-
12.49McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 20.1% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Craig | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| John Silvestri | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chester Jacobs | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 24.2% | 16.8% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 26.3% | 22.7% |
| John Cappetta | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Andries Feder | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.