Race 11A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean McLaughlin 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 8.4% 10.6% 8.0% 9.8% 8.6% 3.6% 1.9%
Scott Goodrich 14.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.9% 9.3% 9.0% 8.1% 5.1% 4.3% 2.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Molly Pleskus 7.3% 9.4% 7.4% 7.2% 8.3% 7.4% 9.7% 8.5% 8.4% 11.1% 8.3% 4.8% 1.6% 0.6%
John Silvestri 8.5% 9.3% 10.3% 9.6% 9.5% 9.8% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 6.4% 6.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Brendan Cook 15.9% 18.0% 14.4% 13.6% 9.0% 9.8% 6.6% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 8.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 9.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.6% 6.5% 7.9% 5.3% 3.0% 0.2%
John Cappetta 5.6% 5.8% 6.7% 5.5% 6.0% 6.0% 7.8% 8.4% 8.8% 10.3% 12.0% 9.4% 6.1% 1.6%
Emmet Todd 1.7% 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 8.1% 7.9% 17.2% 24.3% 15.8%
Chester Jacobs 10.4% 8.2% 10.6% 9.0% 9.9% 10.4% 9.3% 9.0% 7.6% 6.1% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Craig 7.2% 6.4% 7.2% 9.0% 8.8% 7.9% 8.1% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 6.7% 6.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Benjamin Sturmer 1.0% 2.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 3.0% 4.1% 3.7% 5.8% 8.9% 14.9% 26.4% 24.5%
Sarah Fuller 5.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.0% 8.5% 7.5% 7.4% 9.5% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 8.6% 5.2% 1.5%
Patrick Penwell 7.8% 7.9% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.7% 10.0% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.6%
Andries Feder 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 5.7% 9.5% 19.9% 52.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.