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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+2.54vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+4.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+1.05vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.81-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72-2.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16-2.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-3.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33-2.06vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-1.89vs Predicted
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14Bates College-2.97-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Boston University3.240.2%1st Place
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6.57Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.39Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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8.46University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.0Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.05Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.94University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.11Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.86Bates College-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 21.4% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 12.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 7.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 33.8% | 22.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 17.0% | 58.5% | 5.7% |
| Jonathan Gougelet | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 92.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.