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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.96+5.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+2.71vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+2.01vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.33+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24-1.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+1.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16-2.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-4.60vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-4.92vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.13-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.33-2.04vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-2.88vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.97-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.01Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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3.45Boston University3.240.2%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.4Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.96University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.85Bates College-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Koch | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 9.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 23.7% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 33.7% | 22.6% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 58.5% | 5.4% |
| Jonathan Gougelet | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 5.1% | 92.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.