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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+2.71vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+2.03vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16+2.12vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.96+1.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33-0.40vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-3.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-4.46vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.330.00vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.13-3.59vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-1.90vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.97-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Boston University3.240.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.03Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.44Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.0University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.1Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.85Bates College-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 21.5% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 34.1% | 25.6% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 7.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 19.4% | 56.3% | 5.3% |
| Jonathan Gougelet | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 4.9% | 92.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.