Race 7B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Cushing 11.8% 13.5% 11.9% 11.0% 11.5% 10.9% 11.6% 8.3% 3.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Charles Welsh 12.9% 13.2% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 9.3% 9.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Kyle Brego 3.1% 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 11.3% 14.7% 17.6% 12.7% 6.4% 1.6%
Jackson Hamilton 10.9% 10.0% 12.5% 12.3% 9.7% 11.9% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Ravi Parent 21.7% 19.9% 14.7% 12.6% 9.4% 8.9% 6.3% 3.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Koch 5.8% 5.9% 8.4% 6.7% 8.5% 9.7% 9.3% 12.8% 14.0% 8.3% 8.2% 2.3% 0.1%
Kate Shaner 9.5% 9.0% 9.5% 9.0% 10.3% 9.7% 12.7% 9.9% 9.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 10.3% 11.4% 12.1% 10.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.7% 8.6% 7.5% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 9.5% 9.3% 10.2% 12.1% 10.0% 12.0% 9.9% 10.2% 6.8% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Jennifer Lee 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 5.6% 4.0% 5.2% 10.3% 12.1% 18.4% 19.2% 9.4% 4.3%
Judas Taylor 1.1% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 5.1% 7.2% 15.3% 20.6% 24.0% 15.0%
Julie Self 0.2% 1.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 2.5% 4.7% 6.7% 15.4% 29.1% 33.1%
Kyle Thomas 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 6.1% 12.2% 25.6% 45.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.