Race 10A

susan-rogers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophia Mulvania 28.0% 22.4% 18.9% 12.8% 7.5% 4.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adra Ivancich 11.2% 13.0% 12.2% 13.8% 12.1% 10.9% 9.3% 7.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Katherine Mason 3.6% 4.5% 4.3% 5.7% 6.3% 8.0% 8.7% 10.7% 10.9% 13.6% 14.9% 8.8%
Annika VanderHorst 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 11.4% 12.3% 11.6% 12.1% 9.4% 6.9% 5.8% 2.5% 1.2%
Deana Fedulova 15.1% 14.1% 14.7% 12.3% 11.8% 10.9% 8.2% 6.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Nikita Troast 4.7% 4.4% 5.1% 6.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.7% 10.4% 13.0% 12.4% 11.5% 8.2%
Sabrina Starck 11.7% 12.8% 12.4% 12.2% 13.1% 10.6% 9.7% 7.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Esme Gonzalez 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 9.1% 10.6% 11.8% 13.9% 13.7% 8.5%
Sadie Yoder 3.4% 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 5.6% 8.6% 8.6% 11.2% 13.5% 13.9% 13.1% 7.6%
Keelyn Brink 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.1% 10.0% 10.8% 12.2% 10.4% 11.2% 5.8%
Nicole Ostapowicz 4.2% 4.0% 6.2% 5.9% 7.1% 7.9% 8.7% 10.1% 10.8% 12.5% 13.7% 8.8%
Gentry Schneider 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 7.0% 9.0% 15.2% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.