Race 8B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Cushing 11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 13.2% 11.7% 11.2% 10.0% 8.2% 5.8% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Kyle Brego 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 6.6% 5.1% 5.7% 7.5% 10.1% 16.7% 18.2% 11.8% 6.0% 1.3%
Kate Shaner 6.4% 9.3% 9.2% 10.9% 9.7% 11.3% 11.1% 11.4% 10.8% 5.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Ravi Parent 21.1% 16.7% 16.8% 12.1% 11.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Julien Guiot 10.6% 10.3% 10.5% 9.4% 10.4% 10.6% 12.0% 10.6% 8.2% 4.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 10.6% 11.7% 11.3% 10.9% 11.1% 12.7% 10.3% 7.5% 6.8% 4.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Charles Welsh 14.7% 12.1% 12.8% 12.6% 12.4% 9.2% 8.3% 8.3% 5.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Philip Koch 5.5% 6.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 8.1% 11.4% 13.5% 13.6% 10.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Jennifer Lee 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 5.1% 6.4% 7.6% 12.4% 18.5% 19.7% 10.9% 3.5%
Julie Self 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 8.6% 16.9% 28.2% 30.0%
Lindsay Doyle 11.6% 12.0% 12.2% 9.8% 11.9% 11.6% 9.3% 9.3% 6.0% 4.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Judas Taylor 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 1.3% 2.3% 3.7% 4.6% 6.1% 10.9% 23.1% 24.6% 18.2%
Kyle Thomas 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 2.3% 2.7% 6.7% 11.7% 25.4% 46.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.