Race 9B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ravi Parent 21.3% 16.8% 16.5% 13.2% 10.1% 9.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Cushing 12.4% 12.5% 12.4% 11.9% 13.4% 10.1% 8.0% 7.3% 6.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 8.4% 9.8% 10.6% 11.5% 10.5% 10.1% 12.5% 11.3% 8.8% 4.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Kyle Brego 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.6% 7.1% 6.6% 7.4% 10.6% 13.9% 18.1% 13.3% 6.3% 1.4%
Charles Welsh 14.0% 14.7% 12.3% 12.2% 10.7% 11.9% 9.2% 6.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Philip Koch 5.9% 6.8% 7.1% 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 10.2% 13.7% 11.4% 10.0% 7.8% 2.3% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 11.4% 11.7% 11.0% 11.4% 13.0% 10.6% 8.9% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 10.5% 11.5% 11.3% 11.4% 9.6% 12.3% 12.2% 8.3% 7.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 8.2% 8.4% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 10.9% 12.5% 8.6% 8.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Lee 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 7.2% 8.8% 11.2% 19.3% 19.5% 9.1% 4.5%
Judas Taylor 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 8.0% 12.8% 22.7% 24.3% 14.5%
Kyle Thomas 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 4.1% 5.0% 11.4% 25.0% 46.8%
Julie Self 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.6% 5.8% 7.1% 15.4% 29.5% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.