Race 10B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ravi Parent 20.5% 18.9% 15.7% 12.2% 11.3% 8.7% 5.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Brego 3.9% 3.1% 4.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.7% 7.6% 12.1% 14.2% 17.9% 12.6% 5.8% 1.3%
Philip Koch 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 9.1% 7.7% 7.2% 9.8% 15.1% 13.2% 12.0% 7.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Jennifer Lee 2.5% 2.1% 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 5.7% 6.8% 7.9% 13.4% 16.9% 18.7% 12.0% 3.1%
Samuel Cushing 12.8% 14.1% 10.9% 10.8% 12.4% 11.0% 9.6% 9.3% 4.0% 3.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Charles Welsh 14.0% 12.7% 13.3% 12.4% 11.8% 11.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Kate Shaner 9.7% 8.5% 8.6% 9.7% 9.1% 12.0% 11.4% 9.8% 9.7% 7.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 10.9% 10.8% 12.2% 10.5% 10.6% 11.5% 12.3% 9.0% 6.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Julien Guiot 8.8% 9.5% 10.8% 9.5% 10.9% 12.1% 12.5% 9.2% 8.0% 5.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Judas Taylor 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.2% 2.6% 2.3% 2.9% 4.2% 6.6% 12.2% 21.3% 26.2% 16.2%
Lindsay Doyle 10.1% 11.9% 11.1% 13.2% 11.6% 11.1% 10.1% 7.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Julie Self 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 6.1% 7.5% 16.7% 27.1% 32.8%
Kyle Thomas 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.9% 5.6% 12.1% 24.8% 46.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.