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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+2.34vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.09+1.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38-1.43vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.74-0.08vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.06-2.60vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.07Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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1.57North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.34Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.7American University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 10.3% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 13.0% | 26.8% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 61.6% | 24.9% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 7.7% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 24.6% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 10.3% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 2.6% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 40.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.