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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+2.27vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38-0.41vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.74+0.92vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.09-1.92vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-2.73vs Predicted
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7American University-1.35-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-1.06-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.59North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.08Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.27Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.76American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 12.3% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 61.1% | 24.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 7.4% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 12.0% | 25.7% | 25.2% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.3% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 42.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 4.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 26.7% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.