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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+2.27vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38-0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.06+0.33vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.09-1.92vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-2.73vs Predicted
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7American University-1.35-2.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.74-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.59North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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4.33University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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3.08Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.27Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.77American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 12.0% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 61.4% | 24.0% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 28.1% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 12.0% | 25.5% | 24.7% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.0% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 43.8% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 6.0% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.