← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.38+0.60vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-0.09+1.06vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech-0.24+0.24vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.24-1.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-1.06-1.62vs Predicted
-
7American University-1.35-2.24vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.74-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.6North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
-
3.06Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
-
3.24Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
-
3.24Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
-
4.38University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
-
4.76American University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
3.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rogers | 60.6% | 24.8% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 14.0% | 25.7% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.0% | 20.8% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.0% | 20.8% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 4.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 2.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 23.1% | 43.0% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 6.1% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.