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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.38+0.60vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.74+1.92vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.09-0.96vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.06-1.57vs Predicted
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7American University-1.35-2.28vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.92SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.04Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.29Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.72American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.29Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rogers | 60.3% | 25.1% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 6.1% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 24.5% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 14.3% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 21.4% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 11.9% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 24.1% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 3.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 25.9% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.5% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 11.9% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 24.1% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.