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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.38+0.61vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.24+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.06+0.30vs Predicted
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5American University-1.35-0.29vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.74-1.97vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.09-3.89vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.24Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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4.71American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.11Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.24Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rogers | 59.3% | 26.5% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.1% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 26.4% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 41.1% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 5.8% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 13.6% | 22.6% | 24.6% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.1% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.