← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.94+1.96vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College-0.61+3.72vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami0.21+1.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami0.02+0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.46-1.49vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.32-2.22vs Predicted
-
7Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.23vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-1.83-1.13vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-2.31-0.31vs Predicted
-
10Unknown School-2.56-0.84vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-3.16-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Jacksonville University0.9426.2%1st Place
-
5.72Rollins College-0.614.9%1st Place
-
4.09University of Miami0.2114.1%1st Place
-
4.55University of Miami0.0210.5%1st Place
-
3.51University of South Florida0.4619.4%1st Place
-
3.78Jacksonville University0.3215.2%1st Place
-
6.77Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.112.9%1st Place
-
6.87Embry-Riddle University-1.834.2%1st Place
-
8.69Florida Institute of Technology-2.311.4%1st Place
-
9.16Unknown School-2.561.1%1st Place
-
9.9University of Central Florida-3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 26.2% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher McCollum | 14.1% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zach O'connor | 19.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Dolan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 27.4% | 16.6% |
| Rajshibhu Pandey | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 30.5% | 25.9% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.