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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.79+4.12vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College2.88+2.81vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.74+4.87vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.63-1.60vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.73-0.70vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75+0.89vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.80-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.83-1.26vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University0.80+0.52vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.77+2.52vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.98-1.78vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.10-0.44vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.14-1.52vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.61-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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4.81Ocean County College2.880.1%1st Place
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7.87Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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2.64St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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3.4University of Pennsylvania3.630.2%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.89Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.74Villanova University1.800.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
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10.52Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
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13.52Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.22Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.48Penn State University-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.19Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Allsopp | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Marzulli | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 32.2% | 24.6% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 21.3% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sayre | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Gill | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 21.3% | 48.3% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Byron Bell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 26.1% | 22.3% |
| Jacob Snyder | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 25.8% | 20.9% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.