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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.09+2.12vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.74+1.90vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.24+0.24vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.06-1.64vs Predicted
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7American University-1.35-2.23vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.24Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.24Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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4.77American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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1.6North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Seski | 13.4% | 22.8% | 25.3% | 20.7% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 6.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.5% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.5% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 5.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 2.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 42.7% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 60.1% | 24.4% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.