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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+2.28vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38-0.40vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.24-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.06-0.67vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.09-2.93vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.74-3.00vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.6North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.28Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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3.07Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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4.72American University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 11.9% | 22.3% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 61.3% | 23.6% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 11.9% | 22.3% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 28.9% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 12.1% | 26.2% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 6.5% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.0% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 23.7% | 40.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.