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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+2.29vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.38-0.41vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.74+0.91vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.09-0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.06-0.58vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24-2.71vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.59North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.07Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
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3.29Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.72American University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 12.1% | 21.2% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 61.5% | 23.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 7.3% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 12.0% | 26.1% | 25.2% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 4.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 25.7% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.1% | 21.2% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 41.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.