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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.38+0.60vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.74+1.93vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.24-0.74vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.09-1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.06-1.56vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24-3.74vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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3.26Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.04Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
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3.26Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.72American University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rogers | 60.5% | 25.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 6.2% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.1% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 13.8% | 23.7% | 25.7% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 4.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 12.1% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.4% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.