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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+2.31vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38-1.40vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.09-0.98vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24-1.69vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.74-2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.06-2.58vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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1.6North Carolina State University1.380.6%1st Place
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3.02Catholic University of America-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.31Virginia Tech-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.740.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Maryland-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.72American University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 11.6% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 60.5% | 24.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 14.8% | 24.7% | 23.3% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 11.6% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Avi Mayerhoff | 5.9% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Shortz | 4.1% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 3.1% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 23.7% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.