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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.89+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82-0.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.03-1.02vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.75-1.27vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.75-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.15-1.99vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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1.52University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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3.73Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.73Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.53Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Thompson | 23.7% | 40.9% | 25.3% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 59.9% | 29.1% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 10.7% | 18.4% | 39.0% | 26.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.6% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 46.2% | 18.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.6% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 46.2% | 18.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 0.7% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 11.7% | 49.5% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 5.3% | 26.4% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.