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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.89+1.28vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.75+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.82-2.50vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.03-2.01vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.75-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.15-2.01vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.72Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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1.5University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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2.99SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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3.72Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.53Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Thompson | 22.4% | 40.0% | 26.4% | 10.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.1% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 44.5% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 61.9% | 28.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 10.2% | 19.5% | 37.5% | 27.0% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.1% | 10.0% | 20.1% | 44.5% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 1.0% | 1.8% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 48.6% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.4% | 0.3% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 26.4% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.