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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.89+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82-0.49vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.75+0.73vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.75-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.15-1.05vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.91-1.46vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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1.51University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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3.73Virginia Tech-0.750.1%1st Place
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3.73Virginia Tech-0.750.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.54Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
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3.03SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Thompson | 24.6% | 38.0% | 27.8% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 60.4% | 29.5% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 5.2% | 8.7% | 18.9% | 45.0% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 5.2% | 8.7% | 18.9% | 45.0% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 0.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 50.3% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 23.0% | 68.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 8.9% | 20.0% | 37.4% | 27.3% | 5.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.