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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.75+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82-0.49vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.89-0.80vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.03-1.98vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.75-2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.15-2.00vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.91-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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1.51University of Miami1.820.6%1st Place
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2.2North Carolina State University0.890.2%1st Place
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3.02SUNY Stony Brook0.030.1%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Maryland-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.52Catholic University of America-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Alexander | 4.5% | 7.9% | 20.8% | 46.4% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 61.0% | 28.3% | 9.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 24.1% | 41.3% | 25.7% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 8.9% | 19.6% | 39.2% | 25.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Alexander | 4.5% | 7.9% | 20.8% | 46.4% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mercilliott | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 13.1% | 49.0% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mortin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 5.5% | 27.3% | 64.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.